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1. Which inputs listed in Exhibit 2 are most likely required in Betta’s development of a reduced form model?
. A reduced form model requires that one of the company’s liabilities trade; it can be a zero-coupon bond or an estimation of zero-coupon bonds from observable risky coupon bond prices that trade. In addition, the company’s default prospects are dependent on macroeconomic state variables. These explanatory variables can include such inputs as the growth rate of GDP and the level of unemployment. The model also requires a risk-free rate. because a reduced form model requires that the state of the economy can be described as a vector of macroeconomic state variables. because a reduced form model requires that some of the company’s debt trades, either a zero-coupon or coupon bond.
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2. The most accurate interpretation of Whelan’s conclusions concerning the pre- and post-acquisition HHI is that they are:
An HHI greater than 1,800 indicates that an industry is highly concentrated. Should the HHI in a highly concentrated industry change by 50 or more, a governmental challenge to a particular business combination is very likely. In this instance, the industry is highly concentrated and the HHI changes by 90, making Whelan’s second conclusion incorrect. A government challenge is likely. Whelan’s second conclusion is not correct. Whelan’s conclusion that the industry is highly concentrated is correct.
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3. Are Marlin’s points regarding structural models of credit risk most likely correct?
. Both points that Marlin makes regarding structural models of credit risk are correct. because the first point is correct. because the second point is correct.
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4. Based on the data in Exhibit 2, the GDP growth rate in Country A using Hollingsworth’s preferred method of calculation is closest to:
Hollingsworth;s preferred method of calculating the GDP growth rate is the Solow growth accounting equation, and the rate is calculated as follows: ΔY/Y = ΔA/A + α(ΔK/K) + (1 – α)(ΔL/L) where ΔY/Y = Growth in gross domestic product, GDP ΔA/A = Growth in total factor productivity = 1/5% ΔK/K = Growth rate of capital = 3.2% ΔL/L = Growth rate of labor = 0.4% α = Output elasticity of capital = 0.3 1 – α = Output elasticity of labor = 0.7 Thus, ΔY/Y = 1.5 + (0.3 × 3.2) + (0.7 × 0.4) = 1.5 + 0.96 + 0.28 = 2.74. The calculation did not apply (1 – α). ΔY/Y = 1.5 + (0.3 × 3.2) + 0.4 = 1.5 + 0.96 + 0.4 = 2.86 The inflation rate was incorrectly used in place of TFP in the calculation. ΔY/Y = 1.7 + (0.3 × 3.2) + (0.7 × 0.4) = 1.7 + 0.96 + 0.28 = 2.94
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5. The best answer to Napier’s question about the effect of Nanuk on Sunjet’s other comprehensive income is that Nanuk’s:
Nanuk is translated under the current rate method, so its translational exposure is its net asset position. The weakening CAD (see Exhibit 2) will generate a re-measurement loss in Sunjet’s other comprehensive income. It is the net asset position that is exposed to exchange fluctuations under the current rate method. Per Exhibit 2, the CAD is depreciating vs. the USD so would generate a loss. Candidates may think the CAD is strengthening. Nanuk’s net monetary liability position would generate a re-measurement gain under the temporal method, but it is the net asset position that is exposed to exchange fluctuations under the current rate method.
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